Binary Options Break-Even Win Rate Calculator
Every binary options payout has a minimum win rate you must beat just to stay flat. Set your broker's payout below and see the exact break-even win rate — the share of trades you need to win before you make a profit.
The percentage your broker pays on a winning trade. An 80% payout means a $100 win returns $80 profit; a loss costs the full $100.
Win at least 55.56% of trades at an 80% payout just to break even.
For educational purposes only. Break-even is not a target — read our risk warning before trading.
The break-even win rate formula
In binary options a win pays your stake times the payout, while a loss costs your whole stake. Setting expected profit to zero gives a clean formula that depends only on the payout — not on your stake size.
The higher the payout, the lower the win rate you need. A 90% payout drops the break-even point to 52.63%; a 60% payout pushes it up to 62.50%. Anything above your break-even win rate is where a long-run edge begins.
Payout to break-even win rate
Common broker payouts and the win rate each one requires to break even.
| Payout per win | Break-even win rate |
|---|---|
| 60% | 62.5% |
| 65% | 60.61% |
| 70% | 58.82% |
| 75% | 57.14% |
| 80% | 55.56% |
| 85% | 54.05% |
| 90% | 52.63% |
| 95% | 51.28% |
Frequently Asked Questions
It is the percentage of trades you must win, at a given payout, for your wins to exactly cover your losses. Below it you lose money over time; above it you start to build an edge. It depends only on the payout, not on your stake size.
Divide 1 by (1 + payout written as a decimal). For a 75% payout that is 1 / 1.75 = 0.5714, so you need a 57.14% win rate to break even.
A bigger payout means each win returns more profit, so fewer wins are needed to offset the same losses. That is why traders favour higher-payout assets and timeframes — the break-even bar sits lower.
No. It is the floor, not the goal. Hitting exactly the break-even win rate leaves you flat before costs and slippage. A sustainable strategy needs a win rate comfortably above it. Trading carries substantial risk of loss.
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